McCain leading in the Catholic Vote
Following the party conventions and after a week of campaigning, John McCain has closed the gap significantly among Catholics likely to vote. Mr. Wagner of QEV, who undertook the landmark Catholic Voter Project for the 2000 election cycle and has been studying Catholic voter attitudes for more than a decade, points out that McCain has pulled to within two points of Barack Obama, 45-47 percent (8% undecided) among all Catholics. · In a mid-August, pre-convention QEV survey, McCain trailed Obama 40-50 percent, with 10 percent undecided. · This is a group Bush ultimately won 52-47 percent in 2004. · At this point in the 2004 campaign, Bush led Kerry among Catholics 47-46 percent. · At this point in the 2000 campaign, Gore led Bush 52-41 percent. Among religiously-active Catholics likely to vote, McCain leads Obama 53 – 39 percent (8% are undecided). · In mid-August, McCain led 49-42 percent (9% undecided). · Bush ultimately won this group i...